SUNDAY BUSINESS
31 October 1999
FTSE index puts down technology marker
By Matthew Guarente
The FTSE introduces a new stock market benchmark this week which it
says will give UK equity investors for the first time a solid and useable
index of technology stocks.
The FTSE officials say that Techmark will index 170 technology
companies and also facilitate a market listing for small start-up
companies that do not have the three year trading record required for a
full listing on the Stock Exchange.
Many fund managers have welcomed the index and also the opportunity to
buy into fledgling companies that could be fast growing, such as Arm
Holdings and Imagination Technologies (see Strategic Thinking, above).
The FTSE says that Techmark will act like a market within a market,
featuring stocks as diverse as Vodafone Airtouch and Israeli-based BATM,
which makes hi-tech switches to enable fast data transfer.
For investors, having a high-tech benchmark against which to gauge the
performance of other technology issues will be a big bonus. In line with
other global tech indicies, investors will be able to buy into the growth
potential with new products linked to Techmark.
Close Brothers is launching its Close FTSE Techmark Fund, which will
track the "growth tier" of the index, the Techmark 100 Index.
The Techmark allshare index includes the bigger companies such as Glaxo
Wellcome, which, while still having a technological drive, do not offer
the same growth potential as medium and small companies on the Techmark
100 Index.
The fund offers an easy way to get exposure to the growth potential of
the stocks contained in the 100 index, which Close says has elicited a
"phenomenal" response from investors ahead of Thursday's launch.
Before the launch of the Close Brothers fund, Richard Holway, a
specialist research house, has released figures showing the combined
weighted performance of all technology stock flotations since November
1989, as well as the 40 similar stocks that were already listed at the
start of the tracking by Richard Holway. The result is that the
"universe" of hi-tech stocks has surged almost 500%, while the
FTSE 100 has advanced less than 200%.
FTSE, a joint venture between the Financial Times and the London Stock
Exchange, is hoping that the market and its indicies will become as widely
used as a benchmark for the performance of the hi-tech sector as the
Nasdaq is in the US.
Competition between the Techmark, and the (only slightly) older Easdaq
stock market for high-growth companies will no doubt intensify. One
company, JSB, a software publisher has recently opted for a launch on
Easdaq, rather than on Techmark.
Richard Holway's System House research points out that some of the
small company, hi-tech flotations in the past decade have since become at
least medium-sized winners - in the worlds of software, IT services,
hardware and leisure applications.
Sage, for example, which publishes accountancy software, was placed at
26p and valued at £8m; the latest price is £31.12 and its market value
is £3.8bn. Much the same can be said for Admiral, Eidos, Logica, London
Bridge and dozens of others.
While the hi-techs have out-performed the FTSE 100 in the past 10
years, the question still needs to be asked, whether the same will happen
in the coming decade. Richard Holway research points out that the surge in
IT companies in the past decade has been a result of the integration of
computing into every aspect of corporate activity.
Although there is concern that all the current internet service
providers might not last the course, the Internet is here to stay. Fund
managers are often keener on technology enablers - such as Cisco, Lucent
and Compaq in the US - than the pure internet plays.
Analysts at Credit Suisse First Boston (CSFB), in a huge research
publication called The New Millennium Project, assert that the next few
years "have the potential to deliver perhaps the largest and
eventually the most widespread jump in wealth ever experienced"
through improvements in global productivity, by deregulation and
globalisation.
CSFB admits it made some mistakes in the past decade. "We did not
fully forsee the extent of the scale of the US technology boom and its
impact on equity prices, nor the potential of the internet and
e-commerce," says the report.
The analysts then set out a model for global growth that is largely
predicated on the universality of information technology applications to
almost every aspect of life.
While some of that bullishness may be priced into the US technology
sector and, to a lesser extent, to the technology sector in the UK, there
is still potential for new companies to make huge leaps and become the
next Arm or Sage.
While the European competitors, including Easdaq and also the Neuer
Markt, have in the past had a difficult time in persuading companies to go
for a listing rather than seeking capital elsewhere, there are signs that
more companies will return to offering themselves on the Stock Exchange.
Techmark's backers must be hoping that this trend will continue. |